The NFL playoffs get started this weekend with four wild-card matchups, two from the AFC and two from the NFC, featuring four division winners and four wild-card teams. The winners will advance to face the four teams that received first-round byes—the Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers.
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- Sporting News' NFL experts make their predictions for the 2021 playoff bracket, including AFC and NFC champions and their picks for Super Bowl 55. A wild and weird 2020 regular season is.
- NFL playoff predictions: Record projections, Super Bowl chances for every team. 2020-21 Projected Regular Season 2020-21 Projected Playoffs (Photo: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports) Keep.
- Projected 2020 NFL Playoffs To project the top-four seeds of each conference, we ranked the teams with the best chance to win their division by their chances to secure the 1-4 seeds. To project the final three seeds for each conference, we ranked the teams with the next-highest playoff chances based on highest average wins.
The 2020 NFL season might bring more predictability to the unpredictably of predicting the final records for every team in the league. In an unusual year of change with a virtual offseason and a vacant preseason, in some ways, it's more difficult to project what teams will make the playoffs and what teams won't.
But then again, in a year when the COVID-19 pandemic is forcing the NFL to adapt to new procedures, it might favor the teams who are most established with the best ability to adjust. For the predictors, there is less second-guessing. What that adds up to is a fine blend of familiar and fresh teams making the tournament for Super Bowl 55.
There's one more curve ball — the league expanding the playoff field from 12 teams to 14, with 7 teams each from the AFC and NFC instead of 6. With only the No. 1 seed carrying the home-field edge also getting the advantage of a bye, the division and wild-card races will get a little wilder.
Here's how Sporting News predicts the order of finish in all eight NFL divisions and the playoff results leading up to a final, official Super Bowl pick.
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NFL predictions 2020
AFC East
- Buffalo Bills (10-6)
- New England Patriots (9-7)
- Miami Dolphins (4-12)
- New York Jets (4-12)
The Bills rewarded Sean McDermott for strong work with a defensive-minded team and there are now bigger offensive expectations with quarterback Josh Allen going into his third season with a new No. 1 wide receiver, Stefon Diggs. When examining both sides of the ball, the Bills have the few questions of any roster in the division. Everything is right in front of them to elevate from wild-card status and dethrone the Tom Brady-less Patriots.
The Patriots, beyond Brady, also lost a lot defensively and still don't know whether Jarrett Stidham or Cam Newton will replace Brady. But this is Bill Belichick, who still has a deep secondary to lift the defense and the blockers and running backs to pound out enough complementary offense. Belichick's new coaching mission will be helping his team to grind out enough wins to simply make the playoffs.
The Dolphins spent a lot of money trying to accelerate their rebuild and have tabbed Tua Tagovailoa as their near-future franchise quarterback. Brian Flores' team might have to take a one-game step back, however, before turning the corner to realize a brighter future. Getting out of last place is just as important.
So why are the Jets dropping to last? Do you really believe Adam Gase running the offense his way with his guys will yield much better results with Sam Darnold? Do you really trust anything they have defensively under Gregg Williams without Jamal Adams? Darnold might save some face for them, but they're really not that good overall in relation to the other three.
© Provided by Sporting News Lamar-Jackson-011120-getty-ftrAFC North
- Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6)
- Cleveland Browns (8-8)
- Cincinnati Bengals (6-10)
The Ravens lost only vital player in the offseason, right guard Marshal Yanda to retirement. They reinforced their running game with J.K. Dobbins and got more explosive options for their passing game, which is good extra support for reigning MVP dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson. They also continued reshuffling the defense to an improved front seven. They won't as easily win the division, but the Ravens should enjoy a comfortable repeat.
The Steelers somehow managed to get to 8-8 without Ben Roethlisberger because of their elite defense led by T.J. Watt and the No. 1 pass rush. Even with some running back, wide receiver and tight end personnel issues to iron out, they should feel confident they can be at least two games better with Big Ben to make the playoffs another time with Mike Tomlin.
Watch for the Browns becoming a third playoff representative from this division, even with a .500 record. Kevin Stefanski's offensive scheming and influence will be huge on Baker Mayfield, and so will having a more diverse, balanced and explosive attack. Defensively, with Myles Garrett up front and an improved secondary, Cleveland can find enough complementary success.
The Bengals will compete harder with Joe Burrow to make this division arguably the best in the NFL. He's that good of a No. 1 overall pick, to build on his historic passing season at LSU in an offense tailored to his strengths. Cincinnati also invested to improve the defense, but that will remain its key liability.
© Provided by Sporting News Bill-OBrien-090419-Getty-FTR.jpgAFC South
- Houston Texans (9-7)
- Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
- Tennessee Titans (7-9)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12)
This division is tricky, given the Texans have won two consecutive titles but have seen the two runners-up, the Colts and the Texans, go farther in the playoffs in both years. This year, there's room for only one playoff team from this weak division. Deshaun Watson is the biggest reason Houston is the pick for a three-peat, despite big offensive change minus DeAndre Hopkins and a defense breaking down behind J.J. Watt.
Watson remains the biggest game-changing Qb in the division. Meanwhile, the Colts are hoping they can revive Philip Rivers' career with Frank Reich to better complement their run-heavy approach, backed by a solid playmaking defense that now has DeForest Buckner fronting it. But it's hard to buy too much into Rivers with some key skill change around him.
The Titans went to the AFC title game with Ryan Tannehill and have their own good run-heavy formula for success with Derrick Henry. But even with A.J. Brown, they seem rather limited in the passing game and their defensive overachieved under Mike Vrabel in their surprise run last season. There's bound to be a mild regression out of the playoffs.
The Jaguars are seeing more of what Gardner Minshew can do and have loaded up with more gifted skill players and a better West Coast offensive tactician in Jay Gruden. The big questions are what kind of support they will get from Leonard Fournette in the running game and just how much will their sudden rebuilding (again) defense sputter.
© Provided by Sporting News Mahomes-Hill-020320-Getty-FTR.jpgAFC West
- Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
- Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
- Denver Broncos (7-9)
- Las Vegas Raiders (7-9)
The Chiefs won Super Bowl 54 and were able to avoid major personnel losses, paying Patrick Mahomes, Chris Jones and Travis Kelce in the process. They are pretty much the team that finished last season on top of the world, only with rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire replacing Damien Williams with no Laurent Duvernay-Tardif up front. They remain a strong favorite to repeat in the AFC, despite the Ravens remaining on their heels.
The Chargers are bound to rebound with how much talent they have on defense and Tyrod Taylor restoring some stability to the offense after Rivers' shaky final season with the team. Taylor can help their big playmakers shine on one side, while Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram, Casey Heyward and Derwin James now get help from Linval Joseph, Kenneth Murray and Chris Harris Jr on defense. One or two frustrating games for Anthony Lynn's team just keep them out of the playoffs.
There is plenty of buzz around Drew Lock and the Broncos after they changed up their offense to Pat Shurmur's and brought in a slew of extra playmakers, led by Melvin Gordon in the backfield and rookie receivers Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler. But Lock and the rest will take some lumps in the adjustment, while Vic Fangio's defense has a few more concerns around Von MIller.
The Raiders want to live it up in Las Vegas, but the relocation doesn't make them much better from 2020, evenly matched with the two other second- and last-place teams. They have more offensive pop around Derek Carr and their defense will be much better covering ground with Cory Littleton and Nick Kwiatkoski anchoring linebacker. But again, with the Chargers and Broncos having the same uptick and same challenges on the schedule behind the Chiefs, it points to the Raiders finishing in a dead heat resembling last season.
© Provided by Sporting News Carson-Wentz-122219-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC East
- Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)
- Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
- New York Giants (6-10)
- Washington Football Team (3-13)
The Eagles and Cowboys limped in the division race last season. The Eagles overcame injuries to win, while the Cowboys couldn't put enough together to scratch out a wild card in a top-heavy NFC. The Eagles can trust Carson Wentz to stay healthy and have more depth and youthful explosiveness around him. The Cowboys can remain prolific offensively with Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott and be more aggressive to make plays in a new defense. This year, there are room for both teams in the playoffs in a more successful battle that's just as tight.
The Giants have some promise with Daniel Jones, but they are faced with a brutal schedule beyond facing the Eagles and the Cowboys twice each. They are another team who spent to upgrade defense, but it still has some transition concerns. With Jason Garrett taking over as offensive coordinator, the tempo and game plans under new coach Joe Judge will be vastly different from Shurmur.
Washington doesn't have a team name or a chance to be all that competitive in the division with Ron Rivera revamping the defense and Dwayne Haskins adjusting to a new offense. Rivera's first job is cleaning up an organizational mess before he turns more attention to real improvement on the field in 2021. On the bright side, they can dominate the conversation to land Trevor Lawrence.
© Provided by Sporting News Dalvin-Cook-010520-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC North
- Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
- Green Bay Packers (9-7)
- Chicago Bears (7-9)
- Detroit Lions (5-11)
The Vikings lost to the Packers twice last season to deny themselves a division crown, something they will enjoy for the first time in three seasons under Mike Zimmer. They have found the ideal run-heavy offensive formula with Dalvin Cook to get the best passing from Kirk Cousins. They lost a lot of familiarity in the secondary and up front, but their constant investment in defensive depth will pay off in another strong complementary unit.
The Packers' four-game regression is tied to their overachieving from last season and facing a tougher schedule this season. Matt LaFleur's offensive identity with Aaron Rodgers won't catch up on anyone, and the Packers didn't improve as much as they needed to help Rodgers. The defense will still be a backbone, but the edges of their front three and the middle of tsecond four are concerns.
The Bears are messy right from the top with their uninspiring QB competition between Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky. The jury's still out on Matt Nagy maximizing the playmaking from the rest of the offense. Defensively, losing Eddie Goldman hurts and there remains liability in the secondary. There will be room for only the Vikings in the playoffs.
The Lions are under pressure to come through for coach Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn, given all their aggressive scheming and spending. They should have some better results in the running game with rookie D'Andre Swift and in pass defense with rookie Jeffrey Okudah to buoy Matthew Stafford, but in this top-heavy division it won't add up to enough wins to save Patricia's job.
© Provided by Sporting News bruce-arians-09222019-getty-ftrNFC South
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-4)
- New Orleans Saints (11-5)
- Atlanta Falcons (8-8)
- Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Tom Brady gets his sweet revenge in leading the Buccaneers to a five-game improvement and the division title. It's not simply Brady magic; the Bucs are loaded with more in the passing game with Rob Gronkowski, return the No. 1 run defense with Ndmakung Suh and a booming pass rush led by Shaquill Barrett. Bruce Arians has guided multiple teams to the playoffs before and will make the right adjustments to lift Brady into another postseason.
The Saints' run at division titles may end at three, but they're too talented and too movitated in what could be Drew Brees' final season to be denied one more crack at a second Super Bowl with him and Sean Payton. The offense will be more dynamic with Emmanuel Sanders and a healthy Alvin Kamara. The defense remains sturdy with Cameron Jordan, Demario Davis and a strong secondary. The Saints 'regress' to their record from three yaars ago but are still right there in the tournament with the Bucs.
The Falcons have faith in Dan Quinn and he's a well-organized coach who can help them get more out of their defense. The offense needs more real balance vs. Dirk Koetter's pass-happy ways for Matt Ryan, something they need to get with better run blocking and the running of Todd Gurley. Atlanta has a feel of a classic up-and-down team, now dealing with two better all-around powers in its own division.
The Panthers found a good Newton replacement in Teddy Bridgewater, and there's optimism about the leadership and scheming of Matt Rhule, Joe Brady and Phil Show. But with familiars such as Newton, Greg Olsen, Ryan Kalil, Luke Kuechly, Thomas Davis, Julius Peppers and James Bradberry long gone, they are asking for the superstar power of Christian McCaffrey to carry a lot in a new offense. That's before getting to a new-look rebuilding defense that will take more lumps than make big plays.
© Provided by Sporting News Russell-Wilson-123019-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC West
- Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
- San Francisco 49ers (9-7)
- Los Angeles Rams (8-8)
- Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
The Seahawks were on the brink of beating out the 49ers for the division title and better playoff position in 2019. They finish the job in 2020 with Russell Wilson further raising his game with Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf and now Olsen. He can lean on the mighty power running he once had with Marshawn Lynch, an element that's back again without Lynch. They can pound it and throw it deep at a high level offensively, and with their linebackers and secondary, are starting to have that old 'Legion of Boom' look defensively for Pete Carroll.
The 49ers will have a mild Super Bowl hangover in sliding four games down but staying in NFC playoff position. They will recover nicely from trading Buckner defensively and also replacing Sanders offensively with a reliable formula for Robert Saleh and Kyle Shanahan. They don't have many personnel challenges or any schematic ones, but there's enough to allow the Seahawks to overtake them.
The Rams always are dangerous because of Sean McVay's coaching and their Super Bowl experience. But now he must operate his offense without Gurley and Brandin Cooks, trying to find sources of explosiveness to boost a leveled-off Jared Goff. Defensively, in between Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, there enough issues to limit L.A. to .500.
The Cardinals might be a stronger playoff contender in any other division, but the NFC West can claim the title of the best over the AFC North. Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury are the headliners of their Year 2 offensive-related buzz with help from Hopkins, but the upgrades defensively, led by Isaiah Simmons, are also promising. It would be surprise no one if all four teams were tighter around 10 or 9 wins and the order of finish being shuffled in one of the many other possible ways.
MORE: Why the Chiefs are SN's pick to repeat as Super Bowl champions
AFC playoff predictions
- Wild-card round: No. 2 Ravens over No. 7 Browns .. No. 5 Steelers over No. 4 Texans .. No. 6 Patriots over No. 3 Bills
- Divisional round: No. 1 Chiefs over No. 6 Patriots .. No. 2 Ravens over No. 5 Steelers
- AFC championship game: No. 1 Chiefs over No. 2 Ravens
The Patriots get in because of Belichick's great coaching and adjusting, while Stefanski's strong Mayfield whispering ends up with a shot in the tournament. But while John Harbaugh and Jackson foil their division rivals, the Bills get shocked when the Patriots take their rubber match in the playoffs with Stidham or Newton outplaying Allen. The Steelers simply will deliver on the road, too, as the much better defensive team than the Texans.
Belichick's fun will end when his team can't score enough against Mahomes and the Chiefs in Arrowhead. The Steelers will give the Ravens another typical division dogfight, but Harbaugh gets the better of Tomlin with Jackson's legs faring better than Roethlisberger's arm.
Then comes the AFC championship game matchup one was denied last season, Mahomes vs. Jackson. Even with the potential of no loud home crowd, Mahomes rewards the Chiefs for rewarding him with a return trip to the Super Bowl.
NFC playoff predictions
- Wild-card round: No. 2 Buccaneers over No. 7 49ers .. No. 6 Cowboys over No. 3 Eagles .. No. 5 Saints over No. 4 Vikings
- Divisional round: No. 2 Buccaneers over No. 5 Saints .. No. 1 Seahawks over No. 6 Cowboys
- NFC championship game: No. 1 Seahawks over No. 2 Buccaneers
It doesn't get much more dramatic than Brady outdueling Jimmy Garoppolo to take down the reigning NFC champs, far away in the other Bay. The Cowboys get the last laugh on the Eagles when it counts more with Prescott edging Wentz in a classic. The Saints round it out by exacting overdue revenge on the Vikings for both the Minneapolis Miracle and last year's big wild-card upset.
Brady and the Bucs may fall in New Orleans in Week 1, but they will take the next two in Tampa, with Brady denying his teary contemporary Brees a last chance for a second ring. The quarterback theme of the playoffs continues with Wilson outdeling Prescott in a high-scoring, high-passing affair familiar to past Mike McCarthy disappointments.
Brady and Wilson meet again with an NFC title on the line after their classic Super Bowl, and the Hall of Fame QBs give us one more special passing treat before Carroll gets the better of his old West coaching foe Arians.
© Provided by Sporting News Chiefs-Super-Bowl-081220-Getty-FTRSuper Bowl 55 prediction
- Chiefs over Seahawks
In a quarterback league, Mahomes vs. Wilson at the end is as good as it gets. Wilson will be the new leader of the 'old guard' soon with Brady, Brees and Roethlisberger near the end. At 32 to be, more durable and efficient than ever, Wilson will try to answer every Mahomes' strike to keep Mahomes from the repeat Wilson didn't get to enjoy as a young QB. But the Chiefs kept themselves great for this rare opportunity with a generational talent. Mahomes has a special winning quality that screams he will win several rings, even if the Chiefs fall short of Tyreek Hill's estimation. The Chiefs might as well get started with No. 2 right after getting No. 1 with him.
A wild and weird 2020 regular season is finished. While the NFL did manage to complete a full schedule of 256 games amid the COVID-19 pandemic, plenty went awry along the way. Likewise, Sporting News' predictions from the preseason were a mixed bag.
The team we projected to win Super Bowl 55 finished 14-2, is the AFC's No. 1 seed and the odds-on favorite to repeat as champions. In fact, we correctly picked five of the seven AFC playoff representatives, including the end of the Browns' 18-year drought and the Bills' first division title since 1995. However, we didn't fare as well in the NFC, where we thought the historically bad NFC East would produce two playoff teams (ouch) and our prediction of the top-seeded Packers' demise was painfully premature.
The 2021 NFL playoff bracket is bigger (though, arguably, not better) than ever before, with the AFC and NFC each gaining an extra entry.
That gives the SN staff an opportunity to make good on our misses — or get even more things wrong.
Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2021 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as NFL writers Vinnie Iyer, Bill Bender, Matt Lutovsky and Billy Heyen weigh in on the bracket, taking into account what we learned about all 14 playoff teams over the course of the season.
MORE NFL PLAYOFFS:
AFC & NFC bracket | TV schedule | Wild-card game predictions
© Provided by Sporting News nfl-playoff-bracket-2021-wild-card-ftrNFL playoff picks, predictions 2021
Which wild-card team (5-7 seeds) is the biggest threat to win it all?
Vinnie Iyer: The Buccaneers (11-5) need to be the choice here with the GOAT QB flipping from the Patriots to the NFC. They dominated the NFC No. 1 seed Packers in the regular season and nearly came back to knock off the AFC No. 1 seed Chiefs, too. Bet365 weekly loyalty bonus. The Ravens and Lamar Jackson are intriguing as a No. 5, too, but Tom Brady is playing at an elite level and the Bucs have a complete team around him.
Bill Bender: Ravens. Tampa Bay also is an acceptable answer, but if the Ravens can just get through Tennessee in the first round, then Lamar Jackson could make it interesting against the rest of the AFC. J.K. Dobbins is an emerging force in the running game, and the defense allowed just 10 points per game the last three weeks. Granted that was against weaker competition, but for a team that was impacted by COVID-19 this season, they are clicking at the right time.
Matt Lutovsky: Ravens. Tampa is the easy answer because of its first-round matchup, the lack of a dominant team in the NFC, and, you know, having the best quarterback of all-time leading its offense, but Baltimore also has a favorable first-round matchup, solid defense, and, you know, the reigning NFL MVP leading its offense. The Ravens also finished the season with the biggest positive point differential (165) -- 39 more points than any team in the AFC. Last year's playoff flop likely has many counting out the Ravens, but the talent is there for a deep run.
Billy Heyen: Ravens. The popular answer here might be the Buccaneers and Tom Brady, but Lamar Jackson's unique talents create an immediate mismatch in whatever game he plays. Some of the Ravens' defensive numbers are misleading thanks to mid-season COVID-19 absences, but that side of the ball is strong for Baltimore, too.
Nfl Playoff Bracket 2020 Predictions
© Provided by Sporting News Ben-Roethlisberger-122120-getty-ftrWhich of the top 1-3 seeds in either conference is most likely to be upset?
Vinnie Iyer: The Steelers (12-4) haven't played all that well down the stretch, save for the massive comeback against the Colts. They decided to be an object at rest vs. the motivated Browns last week and now need to play the same team with a lot more in the line. The Packers, Saints, Seahawks, Chiefs and Bills all have saved their best for last in the season. The Steelers are clearly weaker overall than those five teams.
Bill Bender: Steelers. Be careful what you wish for. Cleveland edged the Steelers in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, and Pittsburgh lost four of its last five games. The Steelers needed a big second half just to beat the Colts in Week 16. The Browns have a two-headed running game in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, and Baker Mayfield has emerged as a more-efficient quarterback with first-year coach Kevin Stefanski. This will be not be an easy wild-card game in prime time for Pittsburgh.
MORE: Updated Super Bowl odds for every 2021 playoff team
Matt Lutovsky: Bills. The Steelers are playing the worst of any of the top six seeds while the Bills are arguably playing the best, but Buffalo also has a much tougher opening-round matchup. Indianapolis boasts a top-flight defense, dominant running game, and veteran QB — usually a recipe for winning in January. The Bills offense might be too good for anyone to slow down, but the Colts will have a shot. The matchups for the Steelers (vs. Browns), Saints (vs. Bears), and Seahawks (vs. Rams) all figure to be more favorable, though the Rams defense will make things interesting in Seattle.
Billy Heyen: Steelers. There's a part of me saying the Seahawks, but we'll go with Pittsburgh here. Despite the Steelers' 17-point comeback against the Colts in Week 16, this isn't an offense that's looked at all dangerous in the second half of the season behind Ben Roethlisberger's aging arm and an anemic running game. Cleveland could knock them out in the first round.
© Provided by Sporting News patrick-mahomes-111920-getty-ftrWho's your pick for playoff MVP?
Vinnie Iyer: Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are tempting as veteran Super Bowl-winning future Hall of Famers. But these playoffs have plenty of those, including Russell Wilson, Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger. That said, it's hard to go against the best, most dangerous player in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes joined the club in impressive fashion in last year's playoffs. It's always Mahomes vs. the field in these types of awards going forward.
Bill Bender: Patrick Mahomes. Who else are we supposed to pick? Mahomes had nine games with 300 passing yards or more this season. He averaged 300.3 yards with 10 TDs and two interceptions in last year's playoff, and the Chiefs and averaged 39 points per game. There are up-and-coming young challengers in the AFC, including Buffalo's Josh Allen, Baltimore's Lamar Jackson and Cleveland's Baker Mayfield – but Mahomes remains the quarterback to beat.
Matt Lutovsky: Patrick Mahomes. Yes, this is boring, but he's the best QB on the best team. Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Josh Allen, among others, aren't exactly slouches, but after watching Mahomes in the postseason last year, we have no reason to doubt him heading into another playoff run.
Gallery: Super Wild-Card Weekend Power Rankings: The journey (SMG)
Billy Heyen: Josh Allen. The Chiefs and Packers will get all the praise for earning the first-round byes, but the Bills are as hot as any team in football and it's all because of Allen. If Buffalo shocks the rest of the football world and wins the Super Bowl, which is a legitimate possibility, Allen will be the reason.
© Provided by Sporting News Jaire-Alexander-090220-getty-ftrWhat under-the-radar player will become a star in the playoffs?
Vinnie Iyer: There are lot of good choices but the Packers' secondary duo of Jaire Alexander and Adrian Amos are two fun players to watch. They are an excellent combination in pass coverage and they can contain some of the big playmakers in the NFC field. As much attention Rodgers, Davante Adams and the offense gets, the Packers will go as far as their defense can take them.
Bill Bender: Darnell Savage. The last time the Packers made a Super Bowl run safety Nick Collins was a key piece on the back end. Green Bay might have found that player again in Savage, a second-year safety who has 31 tackles and two interceptions in the Packers' last five games. He's a playmaker who has the capability to make that game-changing play in a tight game.
Matt Lutovsky: Jamaal Williams. He's a backup running back, but Williams gets plenty of touches and has the ability to break big plays as both a runner and a receiver in Green Bay's high-powered offense. Most important: He does full dance routines before every game. That's the kind of extra panache a player needs to truly become a star.
Billy Heyen: Ronald Jones. The Buccaneers' running back came up just shy of 1,000 yards in 2020, finishing with 978 in 14 games. But he's proven to be the lead back ahead of Leonard Fournette. Despite that, he flies under the radar behind Brady and a big-name passing attack. If Tampa Bay goes on a playoff run, Jones will surely be a part of it with his strong running between the tackles and finishing ability down near the goal line.
© Provided by Sporting News Aaron-Rodgers-122720-Getty-FTR.jpgWhat offense do you trust the most?
Vinnie Iyer: Packers. Surprisingly, the Chiefs are only the sixth-highest scoring offense in the NFL playoffs. The Packers led everyone with 31.8 points per game, impressive considering five teams averaged 30 or more points during the regular season. They've got Rodgers, Adams, Aaron Jones, an explosive passing game and a strong running game. There are fewer ways to shut down Green Bay than any other team in the tournament.
Bill Bender: Chiefs. Coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and it will be even better if Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle, hip) is able to return after a four-week rest. There is speed, creativity and despite a few more turnovers late in the season, Mahomes should have everything clicking for the playoffs. It's hard to bet against an offense that averages 415.8 yards per game.
Matt Lutovsky: Chiefs. They've sputtered a bit down the stretch, but they still find a way to pull out games. As dominant as the Bills, Packers, and Buccaneers have been, the Chiefs have the best QB, the most speed, and arguably the best play-caller(s).
Billy Heyen: Packers. The injury to Clyde Edwards-Helaire gives me slight pause there, while Green Bay recently uncovered AJ Dillon to add to an already strong rushing attack. That Aaron Rodgers to Davante Adams connection is just so, so dangerous. It's hard to imagine anyone even slowing them down, let alone stopping them.
© Provided by Sporting News michael-brockers-aaron-donald-121020-ftr-gettyWhat defense do you trust the most?
Vinnie Iyer: The Rams have to be the choice here with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. That's their only ticket to winning multiple games in the playoffs with one of the worst offenses (stunning for a Sean McVay team) in the tournament. The question isn't whether the Rams will make life rough on some high-scoring talented groups, but whether they can still score enough themselves to beat those teams.
Bill Bender: Buccaneers. The answer would have been Pittsburgh before injuries to Devin Bush and Bud Dupree, but Tampa Bay has a defense that can be Super Bowl-caliber. The Buccaneers dominated against Aaron Rodgers in a 38-10 win, and they limited Kansas City to less than 30 points in a three-point game. The offense has come around with the emergence of midseason signing Antonio Brown.
MORE: Ranking every NFL team's real chances to win Super Bowl 55
Matt Lutovsky: Rams. The Rams and Steelers are both dominant on every level, but Pittsburgh is a little worse at covering wide receivers. The Steelers are better at covering tight ends and force more overall incompletions, but when you're facing elite receiver groups in the postseason, the ability to cover pass-catchers on the outside will be even more important.
Billy Heyen: Does anyone play defense anymore? It's probably the Rams and their duo of superstars, Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Los Angeles allowed the fewest yards per pass attempt in the NFL this season while allowing the third-fewest yards per carry. Having Ramsey to shut down a No. 1 receiver and Donald to mess everything up for an offense is a good start, and an unheralded linebacking corps played well in 2020.
© Provided by Sporting News mahomes-reid-120220-getty-ftrWho's your pick to win the AFC?
Vinnie Iyer: The AFC is a tougher, top-heavier field than expected with every team having 11 or more wins. That said, the Chiefs have a strong resume beating several of the teams this season and match up well with the ones they have yet to play, such as the Colts, Browns and Steelers. There's no real obstacle to think Mahomes will fall short, especially with NFC wins over the Saints and Buccaneers, too.
Bill Bender: Chiefs. They have home-field advantage, and Mahomes is 17-4 with a 105.7 passer rating at Arrowhead Stadium for his career. It's always tough to repeat. Buffalo and Baltimore are interesting threats, but Kansas City beat both of those teams on the road this season. Reid gets a shot at a second Super Bowl.
Matt Lutovsky: Chiefs. They have the experience, talent, and home-field advantage. The latter might not matter quite as much this year, but it's not completely insignificant. The health of RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire will definitely matter, but he has a decent chance of returning for the Divisional Round.
Billy Heyen: Bills. Considering Allen was my playoff MVP pick, have to double down here and say the Bills will make it out of the AFC. They saw Kansas City, their likely conference championship opponent, earlier in the season and should be able to adjust from a 26-17 loss. That matchup will likely come down to the Bills' defense, which can slow Tyreek Hill with Tre'Davious White and Travis Kelce with a combination of Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde and Matt Milano. It wouldn't be as big an upset as some might think.
© Provided by Sporting News rodgers-lafleur-091320-getty-ftr.jpgWho's your pick to win the NFC?
Vinnie Iyer: This one is more complicated. It's a four-team race between the Packers, Saints, Seahawks and Buccaneers. As much as Green Bay and home field make going chalk tempting, the field might make it tough. The Saints and Seahawks bring up memories of recent playoff disappointment that are hard to shake. Here's going with the Bucs, as Brady will be motivated to show he can still stand out from Rodgers, Brees and Wilson and get another shot at Mahomes. Now that would be a GOAT story.
Bill Bender: Packers. Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur will take advantage of Lambeau Field. The offensive line looked good enough without David Bakthiari, and that running game will be huge. Rodgers' connection with Davante Adams is almost unstoppable, and the defense does enough to get the Packers another Super Bowl shot.
Matt Lutovsky: Packers. The NFC is pretty wide open, but Green Bay's offense, combined with having home-field advantage, puts it over the top. Getting Tom Brady and/or Drew Brees outdoors at Lambeau, even with limited fans, is a big advantage for a team that's used to playing in the elements.
Billy Heyen: Packers. Rodgers to Adams is too good. Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon and Jamaal Williams are the best three-headed rushing attack in the NFC bracket, at least. Preston and Za'Darious Smith provide a strong pass-rushing duo. Jaire Alexander and Kevin King are solid at the cornerback spots. And the NFC has to go through Lambeau Field, where Green Bay is very tough to beat.
AFC East
- Buffalo Bills (10-6)
- New England Patriots (9-7)
- Miami Dolphins (4-12)
- New York Jets (4-12)
The Bills rewarded Sean McDermott for strong work with a defensive-minded team and there are now bigger offensive expectations with quarterback Josh Allen going into his third season with a new No. 1 wide receiver, Stefon Diggs. When examining both sides of the ball, the Bills have the few questions of any roster in the division. Everything is right in front of them to elevate from wild-card status and dethrone the Tom Brady-less Patriots.
The Patriots, beyond Brady, also lost a lot defensively and still don't know whether Jarrett Stidham or Cam Newton will replace Brady. But this is Bill Belichick, who still has a deep secondary to lift the defense and the blockers and running backs to pound out enough complementary offense. Belichick's new coaching mission will be helping his team to grind out enough wins to simply make the playoffs.
The Dolphins spent a lot of money trying to accelerate their rebuild and have tabbed Tua Tagovailoa as their near-future franchise quarterback. Brian Flores' team might have to take a one-game step back, however, before turning the corner to realize a brighter future. Getting out of last place is just as important.
So why are the Jets dropping to last? Do you really believe Adam Gase running the offense his way with his guys will yield much better results with Sam Darnold? Do you really trust anything they have defensively under Gregg Williams without Jamal Adams? Darnold might save some face for them, but they're really not that good overall in relation to the other three.
© Provided by Sporting News Lamar-Jackson-011120-getty-ftrAFC North
- Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6)
- Cleveland Browns (8-8)
- Cincinnati Bengals (6-10)
The Ravens lost only vital player in the offseason, right guard Marshal Yanda to retirement. They reinforced their running game with J.K. Dobbins and got more explosive options for their passing game, which is good extra support for reigning MVP dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson. They also continued reshuffling the defense to an improved front seven. They won't as easily win the division, but the Ravens should enjoy a comfortable repeat.
The Steelers somehow managed to get to 8-8 without Ben Roethlisberger because of their elite defense led by T.J. Watt and the No. 1 pass rush. Even with some running back, wide receiver and tight end personnel issues to iron out, they should feel confident they can be at least two games better with Big Ben to make the playoffs another time with Mike Tomlin.
Watch for the Browns becoming a third playoff representative from this division, even with a .500 record. Kevin Stefanski's offensive scheming and influence will be huge on Baker Mayfield, and so will having a more diverse, balanced and explosive attack. Defensively, with Myles Garrett up front and an improved secondary, Cleveland can find enough complementary success.
The Bengals will compete harder with Joe Burrow to make this division arguably the best in the NFL. He's that good of a No. 1 overall pick, to build on his historic passing season at LSU in an offense tailored to his strengths. Cincinnati also invested to improve the defense, but that will remain its key liability.
© Provided by Sporting News Bill-OBrien-090419-Getty-FTR.jpgAFC South
- Houston Texans (9-7)
- Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
- Tennessee Titans (7-9)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12)
This division is tricky, given the Texans have won two consecutive titles but have seen the two runners-up, the Colts and the Texans, go farther in the playoffs in both years. This year, there's room for only one playoff team from this weak division. Deshaun Watson is the biggest reason Houston is the pick for a three-peat, despite big offensive change minus DeAndre Hopkins and a defense breaking down behind J.J. Watt.
Watson remains the biggest game-changing Qb in the division. Meanwhile, the Colts are hoping they can revive Philip Rivers' career with Frank Reich to better complement their run-heavy approach, backed by a solid playmaking defense that now has DeForest Buckner fronting it. But it's hard to buy too much into Rivers with some key skill change around him.
The Titans went to the AFC title game with Ryan Tannehill and have their own good run-heavy formula for success with Derrick Henry. But even with A.J. Brown, they seem rather limited in the passing game and their defensive overachieved under Mike Vrabel in their surprise run last season. There's bound to be a mild regression out of the playoffs.
The Jaguars are seeing more of what Gardner Minshew can do and have loaded up with more gifted skill players and a better West Coast offensive tactician in Jay Gruden. The big questions are what kind of support they will get from Leonard Fournette in the running game and just how much will their sudden rebuilding (again) defense sputter.
© Provided by Sporting News Mahomes-Hill-020320-Getty-FTR.jpgAFC West
- Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
- Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
- Denver Broncos (7-9)
- Las Vegas Raiders (7-9)
The Chiefs won Super Bowl 54 and were able to avoid major personnel losses, paying Patrick Mahomes, Chris Jones and Travis Kelce in the process. They are pretty much the team that finished last season on top of the world, only with rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire replacing Damien Williams with no Laurent Duvernay-Tardif up front. They remain a strong favorite to repeat in the AFC, despite the Ravens remaining on their heels.
The Chargers are bound to rebound with how much talent they have on defense and Tyrod Taylor restoring some stability to the offense after Rivers' shaky final season with the team. Taylor can help their big playmakers shine on one side, while Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram, Casey Heyward and Derwin James now get help from Linval Joseph, Kenneth Murray and Chris Harris Jr on defense. One or two frustrating games for Anthony Lynn's team just keep them out of the playoffs.
There is plenty of buzz around Drew Lock and the Broncos after they changed up their offense to Pat Shurmur's and brought in a slew of extra playmakers, led by Melvin Gordon in the backfield and rookie receivers Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler. But Lock and the rest will take some lumps in the adjustment, while Vic Fangio's defense has a few more concerns around Von MIller.
The Raiders want to live it up in Las Vegas, but the relocation doesn't make them much better from 2020, evenly matched with the two other second- and last-place teams. They have more offensive pop around Derek Carr and their defense will be much better covering ground with Cory Littleton and Nick Kwiatkoski anchoring linebacker. But again, with the Chargers and Broncos having the same uptick and same challenges on the schedule behind the Chiefs, it points to the Raiders finishing in a dead heat resembling last season.
© Provided by Sporting News Carson-Wentz-122219-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC East
- Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)
- Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
- New York Giants (6-10)
- Washington Football Team (3-13)
The Eagles and Cowboys limped in the division race last season. The Eagles overcame injuries to win, while the Cowboys couldn't put enough together to scratch out a wild card in a top-heavy NFC. The Eagles can trust Carson Wentz to stay healthy and have more depth and youthful explosiveness around him. The Cowboys can remain prolific offensively with Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott and be more aggressive to make plays in a new defense. This year, there are room for both teams in the playoffs in a more successful battle that's just as tight.
The Giants have some promise with Daniel Jones, but they are faced with a brutal schedule beyond facing the Eagles and the Cowboys twice each. They are another team who spent to upgrade defense, but it still has some transition concerns. With Jason Garrett taking over as offensive coordinator, the tempo and game plans under new coach Joe Judge will be vastly different from Shurmur.
Washington doesn't have a team name or a chance to be all that competitive in the division with Ron Rivera revamping the defense and Dwayne Haskins adjusting to a new offense. Rivera's first job is cleaning up an organizational mess before he turns more attention to real improvement on the field in 2021. On the bright side, they can dominate the conversation to land Trevor Lawrence.
© Provided by Sporting News Dalvin-Cook-010520-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC North
- Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
- Green Bay Packers (9-7)
- Chicago Bears (7-9)
- Detroit Lions (5-11)
The Vikings lost to the Packers twice last season to deny themselves a division crown, something they will enjoy for the first time in three seasons under Mike Zimmer. They have found the ideal run-heavy offensive formula with Dalvin Cook to get the best passing from Kirk Cousins. They lost a lot of familiarity in the secondary and up front, but their constant investment in defensive depth will pay off in another strong complementary unit.
The Packers' four-game regression is tied to their overachieving from last season and facing a tougher schedule this season. Matt LaFleur's offensive identity with Aaron Rodgers won't catch up on anyone, and the Packers didn't improve as much as they needed to help Rodgers. The defense will still be a backbone, but the edges of their front three and the middle of tsecond four are concerns.
The Bears are messy right from the top with their uninspiring QB competition between Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky. The jury's still out on Matt Nagy maximizing the playmaking from the rest of the offense. Defensively, losing Eddie Goldman hurts and there remains liability in the secondary. There will be room for only the Vikings in the playoffs.
The Lions are under pressure to come through for coach Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn, given all their aggressive scheming and spending. They should have some better results in the running game with rookie D'Andre Swift and in pass defense with rookie Jeffrey Okudah to buoy Matthew Stafford, but in this top-heavy division it won't add up to enough wins to save Patricia's job.
© Provided by Sporting News bruce-arians-09222019-getty-ftrNFC South
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-4)
- New Orleans Saints (11-5)
- Atlanta Falcons (8-8)
- Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Tom Brady gets his sweet revenge in leading the Buccaneers to a five-game improvement and the division title. It's not simply Brady magic; the Bucs are loaded with more in the passing game with Rob Gronkowski, return the No. 1 run defense with Ndmakung Suh and a booming pass rush led by Shaquill Barrett. Bruce Arians has guided multiple teams to the playoffs before and will make the right adjustments to lift Brady into another postseason.
The Saints' run at division titles may end at three, but they're too talented and too movitated in what could be Drew Brees' final season to be denied one more crack at a second Super Bowl with him and Sean Payton. The offense will be more dynamic with Emmanuel Sanders and a healthy Alvin Kamara. The defense remains sturdy with Cameron Jordan, Demario Davis and a strong secondary. The Saints 'regress' to their record from three yaars ago but are still right there in the tournament with the Bucs.
The Falcons have faith in Dan Quinn and he's a well-organized coach who can help them get more out of their defense. The offense needs more real balance vs. Dirk Koetter's pass-happy ways for Matt Ryan, something they need to get with better run blocking and the running of Todd Gurley. Atlanta has a feel of a classic up-and-down team, now dealing with two better all-around powers in its own division.
The Panthers found a good Newton replacement in Teddy Bridgewater, and there's optimism about the leadership and scheming of Matt Rhule, Joe Brady and Phil Show. But with familiars such as Newton, Greg Olsen, Ryan Kalil, Luke Kuechly, Thomas Davis, Julius Peppers and James Bradberry long gone, they are asking for the superstar power of Christian McCaffrey to carry a lot in a new offense. That's before getting to a new-look rebuilding defense that will take more lumps than make big plays.
© Provided by Sporting News Russell-Wilson-123019-Getty-FTR.jpgNFC West
- Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
- San Francisco 49ers (9-7)
- Los Angeles Rams (8-8)
- Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
The Seahawks were on the brink of beating out the 49ers for the division title and better playoff position in 2019. They finish the job in 2020 with Russell Wilson further raising his game with Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf and now Olsen. He can lean on the mighty power running he once had with Marshawn Lynch, an element that's back again without Lynch. They can pound it and throw it deep at a high level offensively, and with their linebackers and secondary, are starting to have that old 'Legion of Boom' look defensively for Pete Carroll.
The 49ers will have a mild Super Bowl hangover in sliding four games down but staying in NFC playoff position. They will recover nicely from trading Buckner defensively and also replacing Sanders offensively with a reliable formula for Robert Saleh and Kyle Shanahan. They don't have many personnel challenges or any schematic ones, but there's enough to allow the Seahawks to overtake them.
The Rams always are dangerous because of Sean McVay's coaching and their Super Bowl experience. But now he must operate his offense without Gurley and Brandin Cooks, trying to find sources of explosiveness to boost a leveled-off Jared Goff. Defensively, in between Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, there enough issues to limit L.A. to .500.
The Cardinals might be a stronger playoff contender in any other division, but the NFC West can claim the title of the best over the AFC North. Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury are the headliners of their Year 2 offensive-related buzz with help from Hopkins, but the upgrades defensively, led by Isaiah Simmons, are also promising. It would be surprise no one if all four teams were tighter around 10 or 9 wins and the order of finish being shuffled in one of the many other possible ways.
MORE: Why the Chiefs are SN's pick to repeat as Super Bowl champions
AFC playoff predictions
- Wild-card round: No. 2 Ravens over No. 7 Browns .. No. 5 Steelers over No. 4 Texans .. No. 6 Patriots over No. 3 Bills
- Divisional round: No. 1 Chiefs over No. 6 Patriots .. No. 2 Ravens over No. 5 Steelers
- AFC championship game: No. 1 Chiefs over No. 2 Ravens
The Patriots get in because of Belichick's great coaching and adjusting, while Stefanski's strong Mayfield whispering ends up with a shot in the tournament. But while John Harbaugh and Jackson foil their division rivals, the Bills get shocked when the Patriots take their rubber match in the playoffs with Stidham or Newton outplaying Allen. The Steelers simply will deliver on the road, too, as the much better defensive team than the Texans.
Belichick's fun will end when his team can't score enough against Mahomes and the Chiefs in Arrowhead. The Steelers will give the Ravens another typical division dogfight, but Harbaugh gets the better of Tomlin with Jackson's legs faring better than Roethlisberger's arm.
Then comes the AFC championship game matchup one was denied last season, Mahomes vs. Jackson. Even with the potential of no loud home crowd, Mahomes rewards the Chiefs for rewarding him with a return trip to the Super Bowl.
NFC playoff predictions
- Wild-card round: No. 2 Buccaneers over No. 7 49ers .. No. 6 Cowboys over No. 3 Eagles .. No. 5 Saints over No. 4 Vikings
- Divisional round: No. 2 Buccaneers over No. 5 Saints .. No. 1 Seahawks over No. 6 Cowboys
- NFC championship game: No. 1 Seahawks over No. 2 Buccaneers
It doesn't get much more dramatic than Brady outdueling Jimmy Garoppolo to take down the reigning NFC champs, far away in the other Bay. The Cowboys get the last laugh on the Eagles when it counts more with Prescott edging Wentz in a classic. The Saints round it out by exacting overdue revenge on the Vikings for both the Minneapolis Miracle and last year's big wild-card upset.
Brady and the Bucs may fall in New Orleans in Week 1, but they will take the next two in Tampa, with Brady denying his teary contemporary Brees a last chance for a second ring. The quarterback theme of the playoffs continues with Wilson outdeling Prescott in a high-scoring, high-passing affair familiar to past Mike McCarthy disappointments.
Brady and Wilson meet again with an NFC title on the line after their classic Super Bowl, and the Hall of Fame QBs give us one more special passing treat before Carroll gets the better of his old West coaching foe Arians.
© Provided by Sporting News Chiefs-Super-Bowl-081220-Getty-FTRSuper Bowl 55 prediction
- Chiefs over Seahawks
In a quarterback league, Mahomes vs. Wilson at the end is as good as it gets. Wilson will be the new leader of the 'old guard' soon with Brady, Brees and Roethlisberger near the end. At 32 to be, more durable and efficient than ever, Wilson will try to answer every Mahomes' strike to keep Mahomes from the repeat Wilson didn't get to enjoy as a young QB. But the Chiefs kept themselves great for this rare opportunity with a generational talent. Mahomes has a special winning quality that screams he will win several rings, even if the Chiefs fall short of Tyreek Hill's estimation. The Chiefs might as well get started with No. 2 right after getting No. 1 with him.
A wild and weird 2020 regular season is finished. While the NFL did manage to complete a full schedule of 256 games amid the COVID-19 pandemic, plenty went awry along the way. Likewise, Sporting News' predictions from the preseason were a mixed bag.
The team we projected to win Super Bowl 55 finished 14-2, is the AFC's No. 1 seed and the odds-on favorite to repeat as champions. In fact, we correctly picked five of the seven AFC playoff representatives, including the end of the Browns' 18-year drought and the Bills' first division title since 1995. However, we didn't fare as well in the NFC, where we thought the historically bad NFC East would produce two playoff teams (ouch) and our prediction of the top-seeded Packers' demise was painfully premature.
The 2021 NFL playoff bracket is bigger (though, arguably, not better) than ever before, with the AFC and NFC each gaining an extra entry.
That gives the SN staff an opportunity to make good on our misses — or get even more things wrong.
Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2021 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as NFL writers Vinnie Iyer, Bill Bender, Matt Lutovsky and Billy Heyen weigh in on the bracket, taking into account what we learned about all 14 playoff teams over the course of the season.
MORE NFL PLAYOFFS:
AFC & NFC bracket | TV schedule | Wild-card game predictions
© Provided by Sporting News nfl-playoff-bracket-2021-wild-card-ftrNFL playoff picks, predictions 2021
Which wild-card team (5-7 seeds) is the biggest threat to win it all?
Vinnie Iyer: The Buccaneers (11-5) need to be the choice here with the GOAT QB flipping from the Patriots to the NFC. They dominated the NFC No. 1 seed Packers in the regular season and nearly came back to knock off the AFC No. 1 seed Chiefs, too. Bet365 weekly loyalty bonus. The Ravens and Lamar Jackson are intriguing as a No. 5, too, but Tom Brady is playing at an elite level and the Bucs have a complete team around him.
Bill Bender: Ravens. Tampa Bay also is an acceptable answer, but if the Ravens can just get through Tennessee in the first round, then Lamar Jackson could make it interesting against the rest of the AFC. J.K. Dobbins is an emerging force in the running game, and the defense allowed just 10 points per game the last three weeks. Granted that was against weaker competition, but for a team that was impacted by COVID-19 this season, they are clicking at the right time.
Matt Lutovsky: Ravens. Tampa is the easy answer because of its first-round matchup, the lack of a dominant team in the NFC, and, you know, having the best quarterback of all-time leading its offense, but Baltimore also has a favorable first-round matchup, solid defense, and, you know, the reigning NFL MVP leading its offense. The Ravens also finished the season with the biggest positive point differential (165) -- 39 more points than any team in the AFC. Last year's playoff flop likely has many counting out the Ravens, but the talent is there for a deep run.
Billy Heyen: Ravens. The popular answer here might be the Buccaneers and Tom Brady, but Lamar Jackson's unique talents create an immediate mismatch in whatever game he plays. Some of the Ravens' defensive numbers are misleading thanks to mid-season COVID-19 absences, but that side of the ball is strong for Baltimore, too.
Nfl Playoff Bracket 2020 Predictions
© Provided by Sporting News Ben-Roethlisberger-122120-getty-ftrWhich of the top 1-3 seeds in either conference is most likely to be upset?
Vinnie Iyer: The Steelers (12-4) haven't played all that well down the stretch, save for the massive comeback against the Colts. They decided to be an object at rest vs. the motivated Browns last week and now need to play the same team with a lot more in the line. The Packers, Saints, Seahawks, Chiefs and Bills all have saved their best for last in the season. The Steelers are clearly weaker overall than those five teams.
Bill Bender: Steelers. Be careful what you wish for. Cleveland edged the Steelers in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, and Pittsburgh lost four of its last five games. The Steelers needed a big second half just to beat the Colts in Week 16. The Browns have a two-headed running game in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, and Baker Mayfield has emerged as a more-efficient quarterback with first-year coach Kevin Stefanski. This will be not be an easy wild-card game in prime time for Pittsburgh.
MORE: Updated Super Bowl odds for every 2021 playoff team
Matt Lutovsky: Bills. The Steelers are playing the worst of any of the top six seeds while the Bills are arguably playing the best, but Buffalo also has a much tougher opening-round matchup. Indianapolis boasts a top-flight defense, dominant running game, and veteran QB — usually a recipe for winning in January. The Bills offense might be too good for anyone to slow down, but the Colts will have a shot. The matchups for the Steelers (vs. Browns), Saints (vs. Bears), and Seahawks (vs. Rams) all figure to be more favorable, though the Rams defense will make things interesting in Seattle.
Billy Heyen: Steelers. There's a part of me saying the Seahawks, but we'll go with Pittsburgh here. Despite the Steelers' 17-point comeback against the Colts in Week 16, this isn't an offense that's looked at all dangerous in the second half of the season behind Ben Roethlisberger's aging arm and an anemic running game. Cleveland could knock them out in the first round.
© Provided by Sporting News patrick-mahomes-111920-getty-ftrWho's your pick for playoff MVP?
Vinnie Iyer: Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are tempting as veteran Super Bowl-winning future Hall of Famers. But these playoffs have plenty of those, including Russell Wilson, Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger. That said, it's hard to go against the best, most dangerous player in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes joined the club in impressive fashion in last year's playoffs. It's always Mahomes vs. the field in these types of awards going forward.
Bill Bender: Patrick Mahomes. Who else are we supposed to pick? Mahomes had nine games with 300 passing yards or more this season. He averaged 300.3 yards with 10 TDs and two interceptions in last year's playoff, and the Chiefs and averaged 39 points per game. There are up-and-coming young challengers in the AFC, including Buffalo's Josh Allen, Baltimore's Lamar Jackson and Cleveland's Baker Mayfield – but Mahomes remains the quarterback to beat.
Matt Lutovsky: Patrick Mahomes. Yes, this is boring, but he's the best QB on the best team. Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Josh Allen, among others, aren't exactly slouches, but after watching Mahomes in the postseason last year, we have no reason to doubt him heading into another playoff run.
Gallery: Super Wild-Card Weekend Power Rankings: The journey (SMG)
Billy Heyen: Josh Allen. The Chiefs and Packers will get all the praise for earning the first-round byes, but the Bills are as hot as any team in football and it's all because of Allen. If Buffalo shocks the rest of the football world and wins the Super Bowl, which is a legitimate possibility, Allen will be the reason.
© Provided by Sporting News Jaire-Alexander-090220-getty-ftrWhat under-the-radar player will become a star in the playoffs?
Vinnie Iyer: There are lot of good choices but the Packers' secondary duo of Jaire Alexander and Adrian Amos are two fun players to watch. They are an excellent combination in pass coverage and they can contain some of the big playmakers in the NFC field. As much attention Rodgers, Davante Adams and the offense gets, the Packers will go as far as their defense can take them.
Bill Bender: Darnell Savage. The last time the Packers made a Super Bowl run safety Nick Collins was a key piece on the back end. Green Bay might have found that player again in Savage, a second-year safety who has 31 tackles and two interceptions in the Packers' last five games. He's a playmaker who has the capability to make that game-changing play in a tight game.
Matt Lutovsky: Jamaal Williams. He's a backup running back, but Williams gets plenty of touches and has the ability to break big plays as both a runner and a receiver in Green Bay's high-powered offense. Most important: He does full dance routines before every game. That's the kind of extra panache a player needs to truly become a star.
Billy Heyen: Ronald Jones. The Buccaneers' running back came up just shy of 1,000 yards in 2020, finishing with 978 in 14 games. But he's proven to be the lead back ahead of Leonard Fournette. Despite that, he flies under the radar behind Brady and a big-name passing attack. If Tampa Bay goes on a playoff run, Jones will surely be a part of it with his strong running between the tackles and finishing ability down near the goal line.
© Provided by Sporting News Aaron-Rodgers-122720-Getty-FTR.jpgWhat offense do you trust the most?
Vinnie Iyer: Packers. Surprisingly, the Chiefs are only the sixth-highest scoring offense in the NFL playoffs. The Packers led everyone with 31.8 points per game, impressive considering five teams averaged 30 or more points during the regular season. They've got Rodgers, Adams, Aaron Jones, an explosive passing game and a strong running game. There are fewer ways to shut down Green Bay than any other team in the tournament.
Bill Bender: Chiefs. Coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and it will be even better if Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle, hip) is able to return after a four-week rest. There is speed, creativity and despite a few more turnovers late in the season, Mahomes should have everything clicking for the playoffs. It's hard to bet against an offense that averages 415.8 yards per game.
Matt Lutovsky: Chiefs. They've sputtered a bit down the stretch, but they still find a way to pull out games. As dominant as the Bills, Packers, and Buccaneers have been, the Chiefs have the best QB, the most speed, and arguably the best play-caller(s).
Billy Heyen: Packers. The injury to Clyde Edwards-Helaire gives me slight pause there, while Green Bay recently uncovered AJ Dillon to add to an already strong rushing attack. That Aaron Rodgers to Davante Adams connection is just so, so dangerous. It's hard to imagine anyone even slowing them down, let alone stopping them.
© Provided by Sporting News michael-brockers-aaron-donald-121020-ftr-gettyWhat defense do you trust the most?
Vinnie Iyer: The Rams have to be the choice here with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. That's their only ticket to winning multiple games in the playoffs with one of the worst offenses (stunning for a Sean McVay team) in the tournament. The question isn't whether the Rams will make life rough on some high-scoring talented groups, but whether they can still score enough themselves to beat those teams.
Bill Bender: Buccaneers. The answer would have been Pittsburgh before injuries to Devin Bush and Bud Dupree, but Tampa Bay has a defense that can be Super Bowl-caliber. The Buccaneers dominated against Aaron Rodgers in a 38-10 win, and they limited Kansas City to less than 30 points in a three-point game. The offense has come around with the emergence of midseason signing Antonio Brown.
MORE: Ranking every NFL team's real chances to win Super Bowl 55
Matt Lutovsky: Rams. The Rams and Steelers are both dominant on every level, but Pittsburgh is a little worse at covering wide receivers. The Steelers are better at covering tight ends and force more overall incompletions, but when you're facing elite receiver groups in the postseason, the ability to cover pass-catchers on the outside will be even more important.
Billy Heyen: Does anyone play defense anymore? It's probably the Rams and their duo of superstars, Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Los Angeles allowed the fewest yards per pass attempt in the NFL this season while allowing the third-fewest yards per carry. Having Ramsey to shut down a No. 1 receiver and Donald to mess everything up for an offense is a good start, and an unheralded linebacking corps played well in 2020.
© Provided by Sporting News mahomes-reid-120220-getty-ftrWho's your pick to win the AFC?
Vinnie Iyer: The AFC is a tougher, top-heavier field than expected with every team having 11 or more wins. That said, the Chiefs have a strong resume beating several of the teams this season and match up well with the ones they have yet to play, such as the Colts, Browns and Steelers. There's no real obstacle to think Mahomes will fall short, especially with NFC wins over the Saints and Buccaneers, too.
Bill Bender: Chiefs. They have home-field advantage, and Mahomes is 17-4 with a 105.7 passer rating at Arrowhead Stadium for his career. It's always tough to repeat. Buffalo and Baltimore are interesting threats, but Kansas City beat both of those teams on the road this season. Reid gets a shot at a second Super Bowl.
Matt Lutovsky: Chiefs. They have the experience, talent, and home-field advantage. The latter might not matter quite as much this year, but it's not completely insignificant. The health of RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire will definitely matter, but he has a decent chance of returning for the Divisional Round.
Billy Heyen: Bills. Considering Allen was my playoff MVP pick, have to double down here and say the Bills will make it out of the AFC. They saw Kansas City, their likely conference championship opponent, earlier in the season and should be able to adjust from a 26-17 loss. That matchup will likely come down to the Bills' defense, which can slow Tyreek Hill with Tre'Davious White and Travis Kelce with a combination of Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde and Matt Milano. It wouldn't be as big an upset as some might think.
© Provided by Sporting News rodgers-lafleur-091320-getty-ftr.jpgWho's your pick to win the NFC?
Vinnie Iyer: This one is more complicated. It's a four-team race between the Packers, Saints, Seahawks and Buccaneers. As much as Green Bay and home field make going chalk tempting, the field might make it tough. The Saints and Seahawks bring up memories of recent playoff disappointment that are hard to shake. Here's going with the Bucs, as Brady will be motivated to show he can still stand out from Rodgers, Brees and Wilson and get another shot at Mahomes. Now that would be a GOAT story.
Bill Bender: Packers. Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur will take advantage of Lambeau Field. The offensive line looked good enough without David Bakthiari, and that running game will be huge. Rodgers' connection with Davante Adams is almost unstoppable, and the defense does enough to get the Packers another Super Bowl shot.
Matt Lutovsky: Packers. The NFC is pretty wide open, but Green Bay's offense, combined with having home-field advantage, puts it over the top. Getting Tom Brady and/or Drew Brees outdoors at Lambeau, even with limited fans, is a big advantage for a team that's used to playing in the elements.
Billy Heyen: Packers. Rodgers to Adams is too good. Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon and Jamaal Williams are the best three-headed rushing attack in the NFC bracket, at least. Preston and Za'Darious Smith provide a strong pass-rushing duo. Jaire Alexander and Kevin King are solid at the cornerback spots. And the NFC has to go through Lambeau Field, where Green Bay is very tough to beat.
Super Bowl predictions 2021
Vinnie Iyer: Chiefs over Buccaneers. Brady vs. Mahomes again is what we've got, which should surprise no one. Brady never got to directly hand over the multiple-ring torch and potential GOATness to Mahomes in last year's playoffs with the Patriots. That transition of power happens peacefully here, in a high-scoring affair where there will be no recount needed. Here's re-electing Mahomes as Super Bowl champion, making him the first QB to repeat since Brady.
Bill Bender: Chiefs over Packers. Rodgers-Mahomes would produce ridiculous ratings, and the high-scoring appeal of that Super Bowl would be fantastic. Mahomes missed the Chiefs-Packers matchup on 'Sunday Night Football.' There hasn't been a repeat champion since 2004-05 with New England, which shows just how hard it is to go back-to-back. Kansas City, however, has all the tools to win it again. It's a thriller with the Packers, but Mahomes gets it done again in a shootout.
Brackets For 2020 Nfl Playoffs
Matt Lutovsky: Chiefs over Packers. Patrick Mahomes is too good to bet against when he's playing at an MVP level like he is this year. He might not win the award, but he didn't win it last year either — and we all know how that turned out.
What Are The Brackets For Nfl Playoffs
Billy Heyen: Packers over Bills. Rodgers and Adams will prove even too strong for White and company to handle on the defensive side, and if Buffalo's had a defensive weakness this year, it's been occasionally on the ground, where Green Bay's depth should thrive. The Packers could also contend with the Chiefs, Steelers or whoever makes it out of the AFC, because everything Green Bay does well will be stuff for any of those contenders to stop.